While markets are focused on Nvidia’s earnings report to be released this evening, political pressure on the Fed has shaken the US bond market. Two-year bond yields fell to 3.65%, their lowest level in four months, and the yield curve reached its widest level in three years.
Trump’s attempt to remove Fed member Lisa Cook has fueled debates about independence.
Investors are pricing in an 80% chance of a rate cut in September, but expectations about where rates will fall in the long term are weakening. […] […] […] On the other hand, volatility of 6% is expected in Nvidia shares and 1% in the S&P 500. Wall Street rose on Tuesday on speculation of a rate cut, while futures opened flat.] […] […] […] […] Although the dollar is trying to remain strong, the political crisis in France and the upcoming vote of confidence are putting pressure on the euro. France’s 30-year bond yield is hovering near a 14-year high.On the global front, Trump’s tariffs of up to 50% on India have come into effect, straining relations. In China, industrial profits falling for the third consecutive month have increased concerns about the recovery.
