December 16, 2025

New statement from the Central Bank: Household sectoral inflation expectations have increased!

Breaking News: According to the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey’s (TCMB) “Sectoral Inflation Expectations” report, in March, 12-month ahead inflation expectations decreased to 24.6% for market participants and 41.1% for the real sector, while increasing to 59.3% for households.

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) announced sectoral inflation expectations for March.

12-month ahead inflation expectation for March 2025:

Declined to 24.6% for market participants (-0.7 (points).

For the real sector, it fell to 41.1% (-0.8 points).

For households, it rose to 59.3% (+0.1 points).

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) announced the sectoral inflation expectations for March.

  • In February, the 12-month inflation expectation:
    • For market participants, it decreased to 25.3% (-0.1 points).
    • For the real sector, it decreased to 41.9% (-1.9 points).
    • For households, it increased to 59.2% (+0.4 points).
  • In January, household inflation expectations fell to 58.8% (-4.3 points).

As of March, household inflation expectations continued their upward trend, reaching 59.3%.

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